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Guojin Securities: The warm wind of medical policy comes first, then the progress of innovation going out to sea, and then the opportunity of performance reversal. Guojin Securities Research Report said that the core investment opportunities in the pharmaceutical sector in 25 years will revolve around three logics: 1) innovation going out to sea; 2) demand recovery; 3) Policy expectation reversal. At present, the policy warm wind comes first (the medical track policy continues to warm up, and the overall industry expectation is expected to be optimistic); Then, R&D and innovation will go to sea (innovative drug track will continue to make progress, and it will still be the hottest track in the pharmaceutical sector in 2025, especially it is recommended to pay attention to the clinical data reading and commercialization progress of the first-line target, as well as the fluctuation opportunity of the expected difference of the second-line innovative drugs), and then the performance growth rate is expected to bottom out in the first half of 2025 (but it will take time for this improvement in performance growth rate to come. Considering the current industry communication and historical base, it is expected that 4Q24 and 1Q25 should still be cautiously optimistic.)Maotai Group had an exchange discussion with Huawei. Kweichow Moutai official news on December 13th. On December 12th, Zhang Pingan, managing director of Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd. and CEO of Huawei Cloud, visited Maotai and held an exchange discussion with Zhang Deqin, Party Secretary and Chairman of Maotai Group.The central parity of RMB against the US dollar was reported at 7.1876, down by 22 points; The median price of the previous trading day was 7.1854, the official closing price of the previous trading day was 7.2630, and it closed at 7.2700 last night.

In the exchange market, the national debt rose the most, with "National Debt 2404" rising more than 4%, "National Debt 23", "Special Country 24 03" and "Special Country 24 01" rising nearly 1%.Wu Chaoming, chief economist of Caixin Financial Holdings: The foundation for stabilizing the stock market is more solid. Wu Chaoming, chief economist of Caixin Financial Holdings, said that the Central Economic Work Conference will stabilize the stock market in the overall target paragraph, highlighting the central government's attention and care for the capital market. Since this round of incremental policies, the stock market has become a weather vane to test the effect of policies to some extent, and it is an important starting point for stabilizing expectations and stimulating vitality. Judging from the signals revealed at this meeting, the foundation for stock market stabilization in the future will be more solid.The financing balance of the two cities increased by 6.856 billion yuan. As of December 12, the financing balance of the Shanghai Stock Exchange was 961.758 billion yuan, an increase of 2.592 billion yuan over the previous trading day. The financing balance of Shenzhen Stock Exchange was reported at 916.865 billion yuan, an increase of 4.264 billion yuan over the previous trading day; The two cities totaled 1,878.623 billion yuan, an increase of 6.856 billion yuan over the previous trading day.

The CSI convertible bond index opened lower by 0.03%. Lide convertible bonds rose by more than 7%, and Weipai convertible bonds rose by more than 4%; Z-mode convertible bonds fell by nearly 3%, while Fuxin convertible bonds and Yinxin convertible bonds fell by nearly 2%.Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.The application direction of AI fell in early trading, with Jincai Internet falling more than 8%, followed by Tianyu Digital, Huayang Lianzhong, Fushi Holdings, Aofei Entertainment and Fengyuzhu.